Lens 3-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Feb 2024

Lens
3-1 HT 2-1
RC Strasbourg
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lens vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.8
X/1
22%
3.86
X/2
12%
9.62
X/X
7%
4.95
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
10%
7.64
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.95/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
+28% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.0 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Lens vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
3W-1D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
445 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
07.04.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
11.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 2-2 Lens Lens FR1
03.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
22.09.2021 Lens Lens 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.03.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 3-1 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
3-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.57 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lens vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens beat RC Strasbourg 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lens had 50% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 50%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.57 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lens and 1.00 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Lens 3-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lens 50%, draw 23%, RC Strasbourg 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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