Guingamp (K) 3-1 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
59%
Away Win
60%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.73/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.19
-100% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 11
14.01.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
3-1
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.94 xG 1.64
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
136 Passes 345
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp (K) got the better of Fleury 91 (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Fleury 91 (K) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 34% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 66%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 1.94 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Guingamp (K) 3-1 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 18%, draw 24%, Fleury 91 (K) 59%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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