NorthEast United 3-2 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.01/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.08
-30% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
14.8 Crosses 13.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY East Bengal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.45 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 5-0 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
08.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 3-3 HT 2-2 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
20.10.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
28.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
17.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
23.02.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NorthEast United
3-2
AWAY East Bengal
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United nicked a narrow win over East Bengal 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day NorthEast United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, NorthEast United had 33% of the ball to East Bengal's 67%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NorthEast United and 2.17 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs East Bengal?

NorthEast United 3-2 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 34%, draw 28%, East Bengal 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (East Bengal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ BTTS Yes
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