ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Hyderabad FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
12%
6.26
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.09
No
67%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
16%
8.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-10.4pp
12%
Draw
13%
-0.6pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
44%
-10.9pp
67%
BTTS No
56%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hyderabad FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.53/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.76
-4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +106%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
512 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
18.6 Crosses 15.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hyderabad FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.12 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 0-1 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HINSK
02.12.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
13.03.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 HT 0-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
09.03.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.02.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 1-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
26.11.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 1-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-0
AWAY Hyderabad FC
2.57 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
30 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
402 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan beat Hyderabad FC 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 59% of the ball to Hyderabad FC's 41%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 2.57 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.33 for Hyderabad FC.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Hyderabad FC in the India - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 70%, draw 12%, Hyderabad FC 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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