ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Hyderabad FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
12%
6.26
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.0
2-3 Goals
33%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
20%
5.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.2pp
12%
Draw
13%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hyderabad FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
521 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hyderabad FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.38 xG 0.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
317 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
13.03.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 HT 0-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
09.03.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.02.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 1-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
26.11.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 1-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
16.03.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 0-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan nicked a narrow win over Hyderabad FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.17 for Hyderabad FC.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Hyderabad FC in the India - Super Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 68%, draw 12%, Hyderabad FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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