East Bengal 2-1 Sreenidi Deccan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 14 Jan 2024

East Bengal
2-1 HT 2-0
Sreenidi Deccan
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

East Bengal vs Sreenidi Deccan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Sreenidi Deccan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sreenidi Deccan EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Sreenidi Deccan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past Sreenidi Deccan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had East Bengal as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Sreenidi Deccan?

East Bengal 2-1 Sreenidi Deccan in the India - Super Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Sreenidi Deccan?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 48%, draw 23%, Sreenidi Deccan 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ Over 2.5
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