Istra 1961 1-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Feb 2024

Istra 1961
1-0 HT 1-0
Osijek
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Istra 1961 vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v Osijek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -23%
1.24/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.73
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
14.4 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Istra 1961 vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osijek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
293 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
13.08.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-4 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
26.04.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
18.02.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
15.10.2022 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
06.08.2022 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR

Istra 1961 1-0 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-0
AWAY Osijek
0.32 xG 0.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
207 Passes 374
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 edged past Osijek 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Istra 1961 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 40% of the ball to Osijek's 60%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.32 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.67 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Osijek?

Istra 1961 1-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 32%, draw 30%, Osijek 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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