Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.06/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.72
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
15.2 Crosses 16.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.55 xG 1.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 443
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
29.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
01.03.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
28.01.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.09.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.95 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 Passes 286
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Dinamo Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 46% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 54%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.95 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 25%, draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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