Mazatlan 2-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Feb 2024

Mazatlan
2-0 HT 0-0
Atlas
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Mazatlan vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.94
6+ Goals
12%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.42/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
+6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.8 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mazatlan vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 2.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
246 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan HAZ
21.10.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-3 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
13.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
08.09.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
15.04.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 0-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
16.10.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK

Mazatlan 2-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-0
AWAY Atlas
1.21 xG 0.54
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
452 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan beat Atlas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mazatlan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 61% of the ball to Atlas's 39%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mazatlan and 0.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Atlas?

Mazatlan 2-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 45%, draw 23%, Atlas 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
10 Feb 2024
06:10 Tijuana vs Queretaro Analysis →