Tijuana 1-1 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Feb 2024

Tijuana
1-1 HT 1-1
Queretaro
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Tijuana vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.43
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.2 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Tijuana vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Queretaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
316 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 0-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro CONLK
08.04.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
25.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
15.10.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK

Tijuana 1-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
1-1
AWAY Queretaro
0.92 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
337 Passes 156
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana and Queretaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tijuana had 63% of the ball to Queretaro's 37%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.92 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 1.50 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Queretaro?

Tijuana 1-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 48%, draw 26%, Queretaro 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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