Balzan FC 0-1 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.3pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 24%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.46
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Lucia
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
07.01.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
28.08.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-2 HT 0-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
11.03.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
05.12.2021 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 3-3 HT 1-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
0-1
AWAY Santa Lucia
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Lucia edged past Balzan FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Balzan FC had 60% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 40%, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Balzan FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Balzan FC and 1.00 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Santa Lucia?

Balzan FC 0-1 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 48%, draw 25%, Santa Lucia 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Balzan FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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