Naxxar Lions 0-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 49%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.75
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gzira United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-1
AWAY Gzira United
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United squeezed past Naxxar Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 48% of the ball to Gzira United's 52%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?

Naxxar Lions 0-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 30%, draw 29%, Gzira United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
10 Feb 2024
16:00 Balzan FC vs Santa Lucia Analysis →
16:00 Hibernians FC vs Floriana Analysis →
18:15 Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta Analysis →