Piast Gliwice 1-3 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
10%
4.05
X/2
12%
7.43
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
6.24
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
-5% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.8 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
241 Passes 396
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
31.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
10.09.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-3 HT 2-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
28.08.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-3
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.67 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
350 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze saw off Piast Gliwice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 54% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.50 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Piast Gliwice 1-3 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 43%, draw 28%, Gornik Zabrze 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
10 Feb 2024
17:00 Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Analysis →
22:00 Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →