Academica 0-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.57/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.27
-58% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-2 HT 2-1 Academica Academica POR3
06.10.2023 Academica Academica 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.04.2022 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
28.11.2021 Academica Academica 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
02.04.2021 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
29.11.2020 Academica Academica 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
0-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academica vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Sporting Covilha played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Academica had 65% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 35%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 1.50 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Academica vs Sporting Covilha?

Academica 0-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academica 39%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5
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