Sporting Covilha vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR3
2-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
Sporting Covilha 3-2 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Academica 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sporting Covilha made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 46% of the ball to Academica's 54%, shots finished 10-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.33 for Academica.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Sporting Covilha 3-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 40%, draw 26%, Academica 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.