Sanjoanense 0-3 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.04/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.04
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
08.10.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-3
AWAY Varzim
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim ran out comfortable winners over Sanjoanense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 54% of the ball to Varzim's 46%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.67 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Varzim?

Sanjoanense 0-3 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 23%, draw 32%, Varzim 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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