Canelas 2010 1-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 32%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.57/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.03
+19% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canelas 2010
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Trofense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
07.10.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 0-1 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canelas 2010
1-0
AWAY Trofense
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Canelas 2010 vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canelas 2010 squeezed past Trofense 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canelas 2010 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Canelas 2010 had 44% of the ball to Trofense's 56%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Canelas 2010 vs Trofense?

Canelas 2010 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canelas 2010 vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canelas 2010 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Canelas 2010 43%, draw 23%, Trofense 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canelas 2010) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canelas 2010)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
21 Jan 2024
18:00 Dezembro vs Amora FC Analysis →
18:00 Anadia vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Varzim Analysis →
18:00 Pero Pinheiro vs Caldas Analysis →
18:00 Felgueiras 1932 vs Vianense Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Oliveira Hospital Analysis →