Amagaju 2-1 AS Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No Pick
51%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amagaju The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Kigali The Market 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amagaju
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Kigali
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.10.2023 AS Kigali AS Kigali 0-0 Amagaju Amagaju RUA
POST-MATCH Amagaju vs AS Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amagaju squeezed past AS Kigali 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amagaju as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Amagaju vs AS Kigali?

Amagaju 2-1 AS Kigali in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amagaju vs AS Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amagaju win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Amagaju 47%, draw 27%, AS Kigali 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amagaju) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amagaju) ✗ BTTS No
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