Gorilla 0-1 Kiyovu Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
47%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorilla The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiyovu Sports The Market 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorilla
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kiyovu Sports
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.01.2024 Kiyovu Sports Kiyovu Sports 3-1 HT 1-0 Gorilla RUAK
02.10.2023 Kiyovu Sports Kiyovu Sports 1-0 HT 1-0 Gorilla RUA
POST-MATCH Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiyovu Sports nicked a narrow win over Gorilla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kiyovu Sports as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kiyovu Sports led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gorilla and 2.00 for Kiyovu Sports.

What was the final score of Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sports?

Gorilla 0-1 Kiyovu Sports in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kiyovu Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gorilla 26%, draw 24%, Kiyovu Sports 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiyovu Sports), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kiyovu Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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