Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.94/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.64
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -29%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rogaska
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 8
01.10.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
29.07.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 HT 2-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-2
AWAY Rogaska
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Rogaska shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olimpija Ljubljana at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 64% of the ball to Rogaska's 36%, shots finished 24-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.00 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rogaska?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 61%, draw 22%, Rogaska 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5
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