Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
10%
6.71
X/X
22%
3.6
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
10%
5.5
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
-31% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.5 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
246 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.05.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
21.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
31.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
14.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
22.05.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
1.26 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
283 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Mallorca had 46% of the ball to Osasuna's 54%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.26 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mallorca and 0.83 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Osasuna?

Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 38%, draw 34%, Osasuna 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mallorca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →