Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 May 2024

Osasuna
1-1 HT 1-0
Mallorca
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.41
Over 2.5
33%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
6.86
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
14%
5.0
X/2
15%
5.39
X/X
14%
3.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.52
2/X
12%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.27
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
25.0 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Osasuna vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mallorca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
337 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
31.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
14.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
22.05.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
26.09.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 2-3 HT 2-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
19.07.2020 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1

Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-1
AWAY Mallorca
0.37 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
345 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna and Mallorca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Osasuna had 52% of the ball to Mallorca's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.37 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 1.50 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Mallorca?

Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 35%, draw 33%, Mallorca 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osasuna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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