Real Madrid 5-0 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 May 2024

Real Madrid
5-0 HT 3-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
26.5
X/1
14%
3.39
X/2
4%
23.15
X/X
6%
9.22
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
10%
17.4
2/X
6%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
2.17/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.80
+22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
494 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.1 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.79 xG 1.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
552 Passes 256
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
19.02.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
14.08.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-4 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
23.01.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-4 HT 0-3 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
28.11.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.07.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Real Madrid 5-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
5-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
2.52 xG 1.28
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 1
728 Passes 245
92% Pass Accuracy 80%
61 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid cruised past Deportivo Alaves 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Madrid had 71% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 29%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 2.52 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Real Madrid and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Real Madrid 5-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 62%, draw 20%, Deportivo Alaves 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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