Girona vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
İSPK
0-3
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İSPK
0-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
İS1
Girona 0-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal nicked a narrow win over Girona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Girona had 66% of the ball to Villarreal's 34%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.71 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Girona.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Girona and 1.50 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Girona vs Villarreal?
Girona 0-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Girona 51%, draw 25%, Villarreal 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.