Roma U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.69
-42% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma U20
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 nicked a narrow win over Roma U20 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fiorentina U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roma U20 had 56% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 44%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Roma U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Roma U20 36%, draw 27%, Fiorentina U20 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ BTTS Yes
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