Inter 2-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Feb 2025

Inter
2-1 HT 1-1
Fiorentina
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.0
Over
55%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
3.59
2-3
44%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.16
6+
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.59 — our 23% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
18%
3.88
X/2
8%
12.2
X/X
7%
6.01
2/1
10%
22.1
2/2
9%
10.25
2/X
9%
19.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Inter v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 19%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.02 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.06
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.69
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.5 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Inter vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
03.09.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
24.05.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTK
01.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
22.10.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-4 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
19.03.2022 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Inter 2-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Fiorentina
2.24 xG 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
509 Passes 288
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Inter vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter found just enough to beat Fiorentina 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Inter had 62% of the ball to Fiorentina's 38%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.24 to 1.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter and 1.00 for Fiorentina.

Inter vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Inter 2-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Inter 56%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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