Fiorentina 0-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Jan 2024

Fiorentina
0-1 HT 0-1
Inter
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Fiorentina vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
6.89
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
10%
8.35
X/2
15%
4.01
X/X
16%
4.24
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
32%
2.46
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.06
+32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
23.2 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fiorentina vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
24.05.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTK
01.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
22.10.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-4 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
19.03.2022 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
21.09.2021 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA

Fiorentina 0-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-1
AWAY Inter
1.84 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
424 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina had 58% of the ball to Inter's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.55 — on chances, Fiorentina could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fiorentina and 2.33 for Inter.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Inter?

Fiorentina 0-1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 21%, draw 27%, Inter 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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