Lazio 0-0 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Jan 2024

Lazio
0-0 HT 0-0
Napoli
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Lazio vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
13%
6.2
X/X
14%
3.63
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.01
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lazio v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.32
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.4 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lazio vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Napoli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.76 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
383 Passes 576
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Napoli Napoli 1-2 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
03.03.2023 Napoli Napoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
03.09.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
27.02.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.11.2021 Napoli Napoli 4-0 HT 3-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
22.04.2021 Napoli Napoli 5-2 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA

Lazio 0-0 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
0-0
AWAY Napoli
0.48 xG 0.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
354 Passes 591
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 2
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio and Napoli played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lazio had 39% of the ball to Napoli's 61%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.48 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lazio and 2.33 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Napoli?

Lazio 0-0 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lazio 44%, draw 28%, Napoli 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lazio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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