Genoa vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Lecce
İTA
2-2
HT 0-2
Genoa
İTA
4-0
HT 4-0
Lecce
İTK
2-2
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
Genoa 2-1 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa squeezed past Lecce 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Genoa had 49% of the ball to Lecce's 51%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 1.69 to 1.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Lecce.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Lecce?
Genoa 2-1 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Lecce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Genoa 43%, draw 29%, Lecce 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.