Hellas Verona 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.68
X/2
10%
6.45
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.85
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.24/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.81
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.5 Crosses 12.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Frosinone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
270 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
08.10.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
25.02.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTB
25.09.2016 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
17.04.2016 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
29.11.2015 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
12.05.2007 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2 HT 1-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
2.25 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
302 Passes 325
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona and Frosinone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hellas Verona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 49% of the ball to Frosinone's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.25 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.67 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Frosinone?

Hellas Verona 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 46%, draw 26%, Frosinone 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hellas Verona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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