La Serena 2-1 San Marcos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marcos EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
0W-1D-2L
AWAY San Marcos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
20.08.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 1-1 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
18.04.2023 San Marcos San Marcos 2-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
30.03.2014 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-1 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
2-1
AWAY San Marcos
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH La Serena vs San Marcos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena edged past San Marcos 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; La Serena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Marcos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for La Serena and 1.67 for San Marcos.

What was the final score of La Serena vs San Marcos?

La Serena 2-1 San Marcos in the Chile - Cup on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs San Marcos?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Serena 39%, draw 28%, San Marcos 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Serena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Serena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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