Recoleta 0-1 Magallanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recoleta EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Magallanes EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recoleta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Magallanes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2022 Recoleta Recoleta 0-2 HT 0-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB
29.05.2022 Magallanes Magallanes 2-1 HT 2-1 Recoleta Recoleta ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recoleta
0-1
AWAY Magallanes
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Recoleta vs Magallanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magallanes squeezed past Recoleta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Magallanes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Recoleta had 40% of the ball to Magallanes's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Magallanes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Recoleta and 2.00 for Magallanes.

What was the final score of Recoleta vs Magallanes?

Recoleta 0-1 Magallanes in the Chile - Cup on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recoleta vs Magallanes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Recoleta 24%, draw 23%, Magallanes 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magallanes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magallanes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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