Arema Malang 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.29/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 218
15.09.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
04.02.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
20.08.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
30.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
05.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
16.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 6-2 HT 3-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arema Malang
1-1
AWAY PSM Makassar
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang and PSM Makassar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arema Malang had 49% of the ball to PSM Makassar's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arema Malang and 1.50 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs PSM Makassar?

Arema Malang 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 38%, draw 30%, PSM Makassar 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arema Malang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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