Mebrat Hayl 2-1 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
6%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
34%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.2pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.85
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
2-1
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl nicked a narrow win over Arba Minch Kenema 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Mebrat Hayl made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 53% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 47%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl 2-1 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mebrat Hayl win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 38%, draw 30%, Arba Minch Kenema 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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