Dire Dawa Kenema 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
24%
2.44
No
76%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
24%
BTTS Yes
37%
-12.8pp
76%
BTTS No
63%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.94/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.27
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-5 HT 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0-3
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance cruised past Dire Dawa Kenema 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (76%) landed while under 2.5 goals (75%) missed.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 46% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 54%, shots finished 2-11.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Dire Dawa Kenema 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, draw 29%, Ethiopian Insurance 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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