Vitesse 2-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Feb 2025

Vitesse
2-0 HT 1-0
Emmen
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
13%
5.76
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
20%
3.28
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.07/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.18
-23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
19.5 Crosses 19.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vitesse vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Emmen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Emmen Emmen 3-3 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
04.02.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.10.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
16.01.2021 Emmen Emmen 1-4 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
08.11.2020 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 3-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
26.01.2020 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL

Vitesse 2-0 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-0
AWAY Emmen
2.20 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse saw off Emmen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Vitesse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vitesse had 50% of the ball to Emmen's 50%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vitesse and 1.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Emmen?

Vitesse 2-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 36%, draw 23%, Emmen 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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