Nottingham Forest U21 1-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 10 Feb 2025

Nottingham Forest U21
1-1 HT 0-1
Derby County U21
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nottingham Forest U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.61 Expected Goalsiddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Bad Attack Strength –
Average Defense Strength –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18 Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards –

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Derby County U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.65 xG 0.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
360 Passes 269
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1

Nottingham Forest U21 1-1 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
1-1
AWAY Derby County U21
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
460 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Nottingham Forest U21 vs Derby County U21
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nottingham Forest U21 and Derby County U21 traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.75, ~57%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.53, roughly 65%.

The match data tells the story: Nottingham Forest U21 had 61% of the ball to Derby County U21's 39%, shots finished 15-6.

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Derby County U21 Result & Final Score

Nottingham Forest U21 1-1 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 47%, draw 30%, Derby County U21 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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