AFC Telford United 3-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2026

AFC Telford United
3-0 HT 1-0
Hereford FC
📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

AFC Telford United vs Hereford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Telford United v Hereford FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
2.29/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.38
+29% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

AFC Telford United vs Hereford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2025 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
11.03.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
12.11.2022 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-1 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
15.04.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
30.08.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
04.11.2017 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United FAK

AFC Telford United 3-0 Hereford FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
3-0
AWAY Hereford FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 54% of the ball to Hereford FC's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.67 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Hereford FC?

AFC Telford United 3-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 51%, draw 23%, Hereford FC 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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