Hereford FC 1-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

Hereford FC
1-1 HT 0-1
AFC Telford United
📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Hereford FC vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hereford FC v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.59
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hereford FC vs AFC Telford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Telford United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
12.11.2022 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-1 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
15.04.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
30.08.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
04.11.2017 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United FAK
20.04.2013 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-4 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İBSL

Hereford FC 1-1 AFC Telford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
1-1
AWAY AFC Telford United
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and AFC Telford United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 44% of the ball to AFC Telford United's 56%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hereford FC and 0.00 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs AFC Telford United?

Hereford FC 1-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 48%, draw 22%, AFC Telford United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hereford FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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