Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2026

📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.16/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.91
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2025 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidenhead United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 49% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead United?

Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 30%, draw 23%, Maidenhead United 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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