Maidenhead United 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 21%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.23/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.67
-33% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-1
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Tonbridge Angels couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maidenhead United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 59% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 41%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Maidenhead United 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 60%, draw 20%, Tonbridge Angels 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maidenhead United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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