Oxford United 0-3 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Feb 2026

📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 34% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.51
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
6.07
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.15
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.56
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · X/2 at 5.21 — our 23% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.27
-28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.7 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Norwich City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.67 xG 1.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
282 Passes 461
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
07.03.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
10.08.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 2-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
0-3
AWAY Norwich City
0.45 xG 2.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
222 Passes 385
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City swept aside Oxford United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oxford United had 40% of the ball to Norwich City's 60%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.45 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oxford United and 0.67 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Norwich City?

Oxford United 0-3 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 31%, draw 26%, Norwich City 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5
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