Oxford United 2-0 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.26
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
8%
5.98
X/2
13%
4.93
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.27
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 17.1
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
2-0
AWAY Norwich City
0.91 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
412 Passes 402
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United got the better of Norwich City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Oxford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oxford United had 51% of the ball to Norwich City's 49%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Norwich City?

Oxford United 2-0 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 39%, draw 27%, Norwich City 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oxford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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