Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-3
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNCL
Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough squeezed past Swansea City 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 36% of the ball to Swansea City's 64%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.86 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Middlesbrough's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Middlesbrough and 0.67 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Swansea City?
Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 46%, draw 24%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.