Stoke City vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Coventry — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-4
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Coventry
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Coventry
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Stoke City 1-0 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City nicked a narrow win over Coventry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stoke City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Stoke City had 42% of the ball to Coventry's 58%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.95 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stoke City and 0.83 for Coventry.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Coventry?
Stoke City 1-0 Coventry in the England - Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Coventry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 38%, draw 24%, Coventry 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.