Stoke City 0-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.93
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.92
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.35
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.08/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.36
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.7 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coventry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
01.04.2023 Coventry Coventry 0-4 HT 0-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.10.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.05.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
25.01.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
21.04.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 2-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-1
AWAY Coventry
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 421
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry squeezed past Stoke City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Coventry found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stoke City had 49% of the ball to Coventry's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stoke City and 1.17 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Coventry?

Stoke City 0-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 34%, draw 28%, Coventry 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
17 Feb 2024
15:30 Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United Analysis →
18:00 Norwich City vs Cardiff City Analysis →
18:00 Bristol City vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Birmingham vs Sunderland Analysis →