Preston North End 2-2 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.63
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.48
X/2
14%
5.6
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.75
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.11
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
223 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.9 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
213 Passes 309
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
22.04.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
10.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-4 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
25.04.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-4 HT 1-3 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
04.12.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
12.02.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
2-2
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.08 xG 0.80
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 Passes 180
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Blackburn Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Preston North End had 64% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 36%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.08 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Preston North End and 1.50 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers?

Preston North End 2-2 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 38%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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