Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
61%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.65
2-3 Goals
43%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.75
1/X
9%
18.5
X/1
5%
15.4
X/2
22%
3.7
X/X
8%
7.66
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
30%
1.6
2/X
5%
18.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.75 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
61%
Away Win
67%
-6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 71%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.07/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.61
+123% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +28%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
12.3 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Leeds United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
256 Passes 610
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-4 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
27.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle FAK
11.11.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
07.04.2007 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
25.11.2006 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
08.04.2006 Leeds United Leeds United 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-2
AWAY Leeds United
0.90 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
275 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United beat Plymouth Argyle 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 42% of the ball to Leeds United's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United?

Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 17%, draw 22%, Leeds United 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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