Norwich City 4-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
17%
3.92
X/2
6%
9.32
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
9%
24.6
2/2
12%
7.43
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.1 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-3 HT 2-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
30.07.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
16.01.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
19.12.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
28.08.2018 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-3 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
4-1
AWAY Cardiff City
2.47 xG 0.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
524 Passes 365
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City cruised past Cardiff City 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Norwich City had 58% of the ball to Cardiff City's 42%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.47 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norwich City and 0.83 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

Norwich City 4-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 51%, draw 25%, Cardiff City 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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