Everton (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's FA Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
47%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
7%
+9.1pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.9pp
59%
Away Win
79%
-20.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.50 xG 2.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
231 Passes 358
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
06.01.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
18.04.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
28.01.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
0-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.01 xG 1.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 416
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) nicked a narrow win over Everton (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Everton (K) had 43% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Everton (K) and 1.60 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Everton (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 16%, draw 25%, Chelsea (K) 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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